Jeremy Corbyn Holds No Deal in His Hands

A majority in Parliament probably will be able to stop a No Deal Brexit and almost everyone assumes it will. But all such assumptions rest on Jeremy Corbyn cooperating. The real question is why should he?

June 15, 2019
July 17, 2019

The Only Way for the Conservatives to Win on Brexit is to Lose

There is a lack of reality about the Conservative leadership contest that goes beyond basic math or parliamentary arithmetic. No one considers what they hope Brexit will accomplish.

June 11, 2019
June 15, 2019

Brexit at High Tide: Remain is winning the Guerilla War on Brexit

The Brexit Party won the 2019 European Elections in the United Kingdom, but Brexit as a cause lost. By failing to breakthrough outside traditional right-wing voter circles, all incentive for Labour to back Brexit is gone

May 29, 2019
May 29, 2019

Thoughts on the European Elections Part 1: Europe Wide

It was not a good night for the far-right in Europe or Brexiteers in the UK, but it was nowhere near as much of a success for their opponents as some seem to believe.

May 28, 2019
May 28, 2019

Theresa May united her party in the end

Theresa May's resignation represents not Conservative divisions over Brexit, but an increasing consensus. Whatever the merits of the policy, the Tories must go down as the party of Brexit.

May 24, 2019
September 14, 2019

Parliament Fiddles, While Remainers Push Britain Towards the Cliff

Steve Baker may have not been at his most reflective when he lashed out at the House of Commons' grandstanding over indicative votes, but he was absolutely right to describe it as pantomime carried out by cowards.

March 28, 2019
March 28, 2019

The EU Contemplates Letting the UK Fall Off the Cliff

While I still believe the UK is headed for a long Article 50 extension, I increasingly feel the EU is contemplating the prospect of a "Temporary No Deal" to remove the threat of an A50 revocation and teach a lesson

March 20, 2019
July 17, 2019

Vice: A 120 Minute Trip Into An Alternate History Mytopia

Someone, someday, should try to make a biopic about Richard Cheney. Vice, by contrast, is a satircal film about how its director and intended see American politics. Conspiratorial, incomprehensible, and tainted.

February 15, 2019
February 17, 2019

Its Easy to Say No: Parliament's Meaningless Rejection of May's Deal

The only thing Parliament can agree on is what it does not want, and comfortable with that. It is likely to be Brussels, rather than domestic pressure, that forces the UK towards a decision.

January 15, 2019
January 15, 2019

Brexit Endgame December: A Choice of Poison

The decision to pull the vote on her proposed agreement with the EU may have saved Theresa May a defeat in the Commons, but it may have forfeited a chance to force a confronation with the bankrupcy of almost all options

December 11, 2018
January 15, 2019

Brexit Endgame November

With a "deal" imminant, Theresa May faces the likihood of defeat in the Commons as MPs of all stripes vote for Schrodinger's rejection. But Jeremy Corbyn, not Remainers or Leavers, , holds almost all the card

November 12, 2018
November 12, 2018

What does the EU think it is doing on the Kosovo-Serbian border agreement?

Germany has a long tradition of adopting stubborn stands in the Balkans out of misplaced principle leading to disaster, from 1914 to 1991. But the opposition to a land swap between Kosovo and Serbia is truly absurd

September 4, 2018
September 4, 2018

Merkel, and the avoidable migration political crisis within the EU

Critics are right to suggest that the current fight over migration is motivated as much by political ambitions as security threats. But Angela Merkel has done more than anyone else to make it that way

July 2, 2018
July 2, 2018

Why the US Congress is Headed to a Shutdown over DACA

It is an article of faith among the American political elite that the DACA program is universally popular and a political winner for Democrats. That premise is being put to the test this week.

January 18, 2018
February 2, 2018

Much Ado about Jerusalem

America's recognition of Jerusalem may make "talks" less likely, but only harms the "Peace Process" to the extent to which Palestinian sovriegnty over the city was ever on the table, which is to say not at all.

December 8, 2017
December 8, 2017

Polling, Media Narratives and the Virginia Governor's race

The temptation for journalists to focus on the "horse race" of campaigns has always existed, but few have seen their coverage as totally determined by the results of questionable polls than today's Virginia elections

November 7, 2017
November 7, 2017

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