Closing the Gap? The UK Elections 14 Days Out

Even before last nights YouGov and Survation polls the gap was already closing between Labour and the Tories. The dynamics of the campaign made this inevitable, just as they ensure the tough part lies ahead for Corbyn

May 20, 2017
May 21, 2017

28 Days out: The UK 2017 Elections

The first of several looks at the polling, campaigns, and dynamics of the UK 2017 election..

May 12, 2017
May 12, 2017

General Jackson is Dead Sir

Recent comments about the Civil War have reopened a debate that wrongly focuses on "what the Civil War was about?" rather than the more interesting question of why it had to be fought.

May 2, 2017
May 12, 2017

The Worst of Timing: Why Scotland's Second Bid for Independence Will Earn a Cold Shoulder From the EU

The decision of the Scottish Government to seek a second referendum is a gamble that the panic surrounding Brexit will disguise the fact that the prospects for an independent Scotland are worse than in 2014

March 16, 2017
March 27, 2017

A Feature, Not a Bug: Why May is using the status of EU Nationals to tempt her enemies into destruction

Theresa May's stubborness on the right of EU nationals to remain in the UK will force hard choices on many MPs. That is precisely why the Prime Minister is so insistent on doing it.

March 8, 2017
March 8, 2017

Why not break up Bosnia?

Twenty years after it successfully ended a war, the Dayton structure has failed miserably at building a stable and united Bosnia in peace. Why not allow the state to split up?

February 27, 2017
February 27, 2017

Symbiotic Polarization: How Intersectionality Birthed the Alt-Right

For all the venom directed at "Facists" by leftwing activists throughout history, the truly revolutionary forces on the right have always taken their inspirationn from the example set by their leftwing counterparts

February 9, 2017
February 9, 2017

The Politics of TPP and Mexico City

By connecting killing TPP and the reinstatement of the Mexico City Policy on abortion, the Trump Adminstration handed orginized labor their greatest politican win in decades while ensuring foes would only talk abortion

January 24, 2017
May 12, 2017

When did Obama abandon the Syrian opposition? And why did he never let his UN Ambassador know it?

For all the talk of an Obama-doctrine giving way to a Pro-Russian Trump policy, the shift back to realism already occured during the Syrian conflict.

January 22, 2017
January 22, 2017

Old Statesman Merely Fade Away: Ali Akbar Rafsanjani 1934-2017

The dominant figure in Iran following Khomeini's death in 1989, Rafsanjani tried to build a political order on personality rather than ideology or policy and found himself adrift and distrusted by all sides.

January 10, 2017
January 19, 2017

In defense of the choice of David Friedman as Ambassador to Israel and Trump's new policy

It needs to be accepted that the Peace Process in Israel is currently comotose and will remain so until it is recognized that any settlement will have to be on Israel's terms or the result of military force.

December 20, 2016
December 20, 2016

Syrian Endgame

The events in Aleppo are tragic, but they are also the inevitible result of a policy based on moral outrage rather than strategic calculation, or even an effort to limit human suffering.

December 14, 2016
December 14, 2016

The Taiwan Misfire

There are plenty of reasons why it might not have made sense to take a phone call from Taiwan's new president. It is unclear what made Trump's critics think it was a good issue on which to attack him domestically.

December 4, 2016
May 12, 2017

The Return of Geostrategy: Trump jettisons liberal internationalism

Media coverage has sought to paint the Trump transition effort as both haphazard and incoherent. The reality is his Foriegn Policy picks have been calculated and strategic, echoing points he has made for over a year

December 1, 2016
May 12, 2017

2016: The Year History Ended

A decade ago it was common for neoconservative thinkers to claim that 9/11 marked the end of the "End of History" that began with the end of the Cold War. With hindsight, it merely marked the midpoint.

November 21, 2016
March 27, 2017

Where Predictions went wrong

It is easy to blame this election on the polls, but looking back, everyone took for granted that voters who supported John Kerry and then Obama twice would never vote for Donald Trump. And no evidence could shake that.

November 11, 2016
November 11, 2016

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